Tubelight will release this Eid and we have marked June 23 on our calendars. After Baahubali 2 everyone will be waiting for the Salman storm to engulf box office and make Bollywood cash rich. Everyone knows for a fact that it is not going to earn anywhere less than Rs 300 crore. But we also have a feeling that it might be able to cross the lifetime collection of Shah Rukh Khan’s January release, Raees, in its opening weekend itself! Wait, before you pounce on us claiming that it is a preposterous prediction, we have valid reasons to think so and Salman Khan’s last three films are proof. (Also read: 3 reasons why Salman Khan’s Tubelight reminds us of Tom Hanks’s Forrest Gump)
Let’s begin with Sultan that released last year. The film was fortunate to get a five day weekend. It opened with historic numbers (Rs. 36.54 crore) and wrapped up the first weekend with a whopping Rs 180.36 crore. Raees, too, got a five day weekend to prosper (January 25 i.e. Wednesday) but could earn only Rs. 137.51 crore. It is reason enough to think that Tubelight can fetch that amount easily because it doesn’t have to share screens with any other film like SRK’s film did. It had released with Kaabil and thus, the numbers were less.
Now, if you consider Prem Ratan Dhan Payo, which released on November 12, 2015, it got a four day weekend and managed to earn Rs. 129.77 crore and as for Bajrangi Bhaijaan, it had earned Rs. 102.60 crore. Let us explain this to you further.
Lifetime collection: Rs. 137.51 crore
And here’s a tabular version of the opening weekend collections of Salman’s last three releases…
You can see that Salman’s movies haven’t earned anything less than Rs. 100 crore which means there is a possibility for the film to earn the entire collection of Raees in the first three days itself. Also, Monday is a holiday thanks to Eid which will only help Tubelight’s cause.
But it is very important to understand here that Tubelight has a lot going in its favour. One, Salman Khan’s film will release in a lot of screens. It won’t be anything less than 4000 screens and that will give it a wider release. Second, it has no movie clashing at the box office which will make it everyone’s go-to film this Eid. Shah Rukh Khan’s Raees didn’t have that advantage. It not only had to share screens with Hrithik Roshan’s Kaabil, it also had to fight for audience’s attention since the revenge thriller was an equally good film.
There is nothing stopping Tubelight from crossing the lifetime collection of Raees in its first weekend itself. But we would like to know if you think it’s possible as well.